A moving average line is just the average price of a stock over the period of time.
The Two Moving Averages
Use two moving averages: the 10-SMA and the 30-EMA. I like to use a slower one and a faster one. Do you know Why? Because when the faster one (10) crosses over the slower one (30), it will often signal a trend change. Let's look at an example:
Delta Spinning chart of moving averages:
Chart of Delta Spinning |
You can see in the chart above how these lines can help you define trends. On the left side of the chart the 10 SMA is above the 30 EMA and the trend is up. The 10 SMA crosses down below the 30 EMA in mid August and the trend is down. Then, the 10 SMA crosses back up through the 30 EMA in September and the trend is up again - and it stays up for several months thereafter.
Here are the rules: Focus on long positions only when the 10 SMA is above the 30 EMA. Focus on short positions only when the 10 SMA is below the 30 EMA. It doesn't get any simpler than that and it will ALWAYS keep you on the right side of the trend! Note that moving averages only work well when a stock is trending - not when they are in a trading range. When a stock (or the market itself) becomes "sloppy" then you can ignore moving averages - they won't work! Here are the important things to remember (for long positions - reverse for short positions.):
1. The 10 SMA must be above the 30 EMA.
2. There must be plenty of space in between the moving averages.
3. Both moving averages must be sloping upward.
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